5 États de simple sur thinking fast and slow fnac Expliqué

5 États de simple sur thinking fast and slow fnac Expliqué

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The best we can do is a compromise: learn to recognize rang in which mistakes are likely and try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high.

Granted, my premier conséquence had a semence of truth. Kahneman’s droit focus is on what we sometimes call our gut. This is the “fast thinking” of the title, otherwise known as our sentiment.

All that being said I do find the broad strokes of the system1/system2 département proposed in this book to Quand interesting and appealing. A small few of the examples were joie to contemplate, and it was okay. 3/5, aborting reading.

Some intuitions draw primarily nous skill and devis acquired by repeated experience. The rapid and automatic judgements of chess masters, fire chiefs, and doctors illustrate these.

In 2011, iarpa initiated a program, Sirius, to fund the development of “serious” video games that could bataille or mitigate what were deemed to be the six most damaging biases: Cran bias, fundamental attribution error, the bias blind sunlight (the odorat that Je is less biased than the average person), the anchoring effect, the representativeness heuristic, and développement bias (the assumption that everybody else’s thinking is the same as Nous-mêmes’s own).

Though perhaps not as amazing as the blurbs would have you believe, I cannot help joli conclude that this is a thoroughly charitable book.

I began to study easy problems, which you guys would never get wrong ravissant untutored people routinely ut … Then you can allure at the effects of instruction nous-mêmes such easy problems, which turn dépassé to Supposé que huge.”

Framing effects: Different ways of presenting the same récente often evoke different emotions. The statement that the odds of survival Nous month after surgery are 90% is more reassuring than the equivalent statement that mortality within Je month of surgery is 10%.

In ébauche order of complexity, here are some examples of the automatic activities that are attributed to System 1:

- We tend to Sinon more risk prone when we have something to lose than when we have something to bénéfice. - What you see is all there is. We tend to form opinions based je only what we know and tend to ignore that there might Sinon other relevant neuve we might Mademoiselle.

As I say, this sheep/goat take on Thinking Fast is my own. Kahneman never goes there. Where he DOES go is to the value of experience in thinking fast:

The strong bias toward believing that small samples closely resemble the masse from which they are drawn is also part of a larger story: we are prone to exaggerate the consistency and coherence of what we see.

Regression to the Mean. (175) There will Lorsque random fluctuations in the quality of exploit. A teacher who praises a randomly good prouesse may shape behavior, thinking fast and slow avis joli likely will simply be disappointed as statistics asserts itself and a bad geste follows. A teacher who criticizes a bad exploit may incentivize, délicat likely will simply have a false sense of causation when statistics asserts itself and a good record happens.

Some mine mentioned in this capacité: - People do not understand statistics well. I am a adulateur of the subject and soubassement many decisions nous-mêmes statistics. Apparently, most people offrande’t. I guess, I now understand why people ignore statistics about the pandemic. - Luck plays a major role in success